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What if Dario Amodei Is Right?

Ep 66: Waymo Upstages Uber’s Party: Avride’s Debut & The Reality of Scaling

This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discuss the “Thriller in the Big D” as Waymo upstages Uber’s party in Dallas. The day before Uber was set to announce its new partnership with Avride, Waymo stole the spotlight by announcing they went driver-out in the same city. During the episode Grayson and Walt analyzed the fallout from this…

Ep 65: China vs US: Who Can Scale Faster, WeRide or Waymo?

This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discuss Uber and WeRide’s fully autonomous launch in Abu Dhabi, marking Uber’s first robotaxi deployment without a safety driver outside the United States. On WeRide’s earnings, the company announced a fleet of 1,600 autonomous vehicles with 750 robotaxis, while Pony.ai announced plans to triple its…

Ep 64: Waymo’s Six Stages of Autonomy

This week on ⁠Autonomy Markets⁠, ⁠Grayson Brulte⁠ and ⁠Walter Piecyk⁠ discuss Waymo’s accelerated nationwide expansion with new markets, Minneapolis, Tampa, New Orleans, Miami, Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, and Orlando getting ready to come online, while breaking down and coin Waymo’s Six Stages of Autonomy. As ⁠Waymo⁠ expands, competition is brewing in Dallas where ⁠Avride⁠ in partnership with…

Ep 63: Waymo’s Highway Unlock Is Real. Its Moat Still Isn’t

This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discuss Waymo’s great highway unlock, their Bay Area expansion to 260 square miles and the launch of commercial service at the San Jose Airport. Despite the expansion, Waymo remains sharply vehicle-constrained. Bloomberg reported this week that the company is operating roughly 1,000 vehicles in the Bay Area, 700 in Los Angeles,…

Ep 62: Waymo Expands, Lyft Builds, Uber Ducks as Tesla Rewrites the Autonomy Script

This week on ⁠Autonomy Markets⁠, ⁠Grayson Brulte⁠ and ⁠Walter Piecyk⁠ discuss Waymo’s expansion into three new markets, Uber’s role in autonomy and Lyft’s growing infrastructure ambitions.  Beneath the headlines, Tesla is aiming to once again reshape the entire autonomous driving industry with their AI5 chip, FSD Unsupervised deployment, and the expansion of their insurance business. As Tesla continues to focus…

Ep 61: Nvidia’s Autonomy Ambitions and More Waymo-Uber Drama

This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discuss NVIDIA’s ever expanding autonomy ambitions and the fracturing relationship between Waymo and Uber, which may signal the end of one of the industry’s most-watched partnerships. Jensen Huang’s latest GTC announcements further signaled that NVIDIA is moving beyond supplying compute to potentially building their own…

Ep 60: Tesla’s Robotaxi Scale Plan, NVIDIA’s Autonomy Ambitions

This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discuss Tesla’s Q3 earnings call, NVIDIA’s strategic partnership with Uber, and GM’s surprising return to autonomy under Sterling Anderson’s leadership. The conversation opens with Walt’s firsthand insights from Tesla’s Q3 2025 earnings call, where the company confirmed plans to remove safety attendants across “large parts”…

Ep 59: Tesla FSD 14 Updates and Waymo’s Latest Moove Away from Uber

This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discuss Tesla’s continued FSD 14 updates, Waymo’s expansion to London and the growing political and infrastructure challenges shaping the next phase of robotaxi growth. Walt shares his latest hands-on experience with FSD 14, including testing the new “Mad Max” mode, featuring more assertive lane changes,…

Ep 58: First Impressions of Tesla FSD 14, Waymo’s Next Potential Markets

This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discuss Tesla’s FSD 14 release and Waymo’s potential market expansions. The episode begins with Walt sharing his firsthand experience testing FSD 14, showcasing its breakthrough ability to autonomously back out of driveways and park at destinations with a single tap. While impressive, he notes challenges…

Ep 57: From London to Dubai Robotaxis are Rapidly Expanding Globally

This week on Autonomy Markets, ⁠Grayson Brulte⁠ and ⁠Walter Piecyk⁠ discuss the accelerating global expansion of robotaxis. In London, Wayve is proving its adaptable, AI-powered autonomous system can navigate complex roadways, from double roundabouts to unpredictable pedestrian interactions without reliance on LiDAR. Wayve’s strategy of working hand-in-hand with OEMs sets it apart from Tesla’s vision-only approach, allowing…