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SpaceX Has a Plan. Do the Telcos?

Telecom Italia positive on Brazil on Q2 call

Telecom Italia, which owns 70% of Brazilian wireless operator Tim Participacoes, made positive comments about Brazil on their quarterly call today. While the company stopped short of raising guidance for TIM Part, it did admit that it is ahead of its targets and that it could experience a significantly better trend for the end of…

The Comcast Conundrum

Investors often think of Comcast as “the cable industry,” rather than just the largest/dominant company within the industry. That, in and of itself, highlights the burden that sits on Comcast’s “shoulders.” Comcast’s Chairman and CEO, Brian Roberts recently turned 48, and we see every indication that he and his family will want to continue building/growing…

AT&T Wireless pays more for customers

AT&T Wireless reported EBITDA of $3.6 billion that was $97 million lower than our estimate because it cost more to acquire a customer than we expected. We believe the higher customer acquisition costs and lower gross margins are red flags about the wireless industry in the United States. ARPU would be a third red flag…

Cinema Advertising: Stop Worrying About Make-Goods

We believe NCMI investors have become overly concerned with quarterly box office performance and the risk of advertising “make-goods,” if attendance in a given quarter is down year-over-year. Make-goods are simply a fact of life for the cinema advertising industry; most quarters have some level of make-goods, particularly as advertising is sold against three separate…

China Mobile subscriber growth strong in June

China Mobile reported June net subscriber additions of 5.5 million (+1% q/q and +24% y/y) that topped our estimate by ~260,000.  Prepaid net additions of 5.2 million were responsible for the upside to our estimate, while postpaid net additions were in-line with our estimate.  Prepaid accounted for 93% of net additions in the month of…