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What if Dario Amodei Is Right?

Netflix and YouTube Growing CTV Time Spent, as Disney, Hulu and Amazon Flatten, Losing Share to New Entrants

In our June 2021 post, New SVOD Entrants All Making Critical Mistake: Optimizing for Wrong Outcome(s), we stated: Bottom Line: tech companies are using content and programming to capture even more time spent per day driving addiction to their platforms, whereas legacy media companies are all now trying to become tech companies but they are…

Sinclair’s RSN Future Will Not Be Streamed #GameOver

We have long believed the regional sports network (RSN) business model was not sustainable. RSNs’ cost structures are tied to team licensing agreements that escalate annually. At the same time, RSN distribution is dwindling due to cord-cutting and exacerbated by MVPD/vMVPD carriage drops. MVPD/vMVPD’s are demanding that RSNs agree to be tiered, similar to premium…

Introducing The LightShed Earnings Call Scorecard

We are unveiling the LightShed Earnings Call Scorecard ahead of Q3 earnings because it is time to hold companies accountable. The value of quarterly earnings calls continues to degrade. Time is wasted on lengthy prepared comments, including some companies that actually read their press release! What’s more pathetic, however, is how companies control Q&A sessions…

Is Comcast’s NBCU Fighting a Losing Battle with Google’s YouTube TV, the Industry’s Largest vMPVD?

In our 2018 Legacy Media Jenga blog, we talked about the dangers of licensing sports rights to tech platforms: “might be positive for the leagues/owners short-term, however, what happens if the tech platforms simply turn around a few years later and say, we overpaid, it is not worth that much to us or we simply…

Watch APOS Fall 2021: LightShed, MPA, Netflix, Snapchat, YouTube and HBO Max

Earlier this month, we had the opportunity to speak at the APOS 2021 Virtual Conference, the premier event for the Media, Telecom and Entertainment industries in Asia, created and hosted by Media Partners Asia (MPA). Vivek Couto, Executive Director & Co-Founder, Media Partners Asia has given LightShed permission to showcase the closing session with Couto,…

Where’s The T-Mobile Love?

Our bullish call on AT&T yesterday understandably triggered questions about our views on T-Mobile, the darling investment of wireless investors since 2016. We called for AT&T’s stock to outperform T-Mobile over the next 12-18 months and noted that our T-Mobile subscriber estimates for 2022 are below consensus. We still believe in the significant opportunity afforded…