The quarterly reports of wireless operators point to an elongating replacement cycle for smartphones and less overall switcher activity. That’s not a good data point for Apple, which reports tomorrow.
We are initiating coverage of META with a BUY rating and a $200 one-year price target, based on ~17x 2024 EPS (GAAP) of $11.70, which is notably above consensus 2024 EPS of $9.90. Why Now? We sat on the sidelines during COVID as the online ad market roared back to life and with it Meta’s…
Last week, we were interviewed by The Economist on their Money Talks podcast. The discussion (embedded below) centers around the challenges facing Disney and the key strategic decisions facing newly returned CEO Bob Iger. We join the discussion at the 12 minute mark, with some key topics highlighted with time stamps below. Later on, Matthew…
Here are our nine key questions for Netflix management on tonight’s Q4 2022 earnings interview (our Q3 2022 questions can be found here). 1. Are you dropping the $9.99 plan? When you first launched the basic with ads tier, it became the most inexpensive and fourth listed Netflix plan. In the US it appears you…
Last week’s Nelson Peltz/Trian presentation on Disney, titled “Restore the Magic” (link), read more like a short seller presentation at the Ira Sohn conference, mixed with an untimely plea to restore the dividend. We agree that Disney has made mistakes over the past decade from waiting too long to pivot to streaming (remember, Netflix streaming…
Welcome to the Sixth Edition of the LightShed Earnings Scorecard – our attempt to hold companies and analysts accountable for the quality of earnings calls. 70 companies tracked This quarter we tracked the quarterly earnings calls of 70 companies, adding iHeart and Omnicom, but excluding MSG Sports, which did not host a call. Inflation and…
For years we have been speculating about the Vince McMahon succession plan. When it finally did come last summer, it was neatly packaged. Despite the circumstances surrounding Vince’s departure, the company would remain a (public) family business. Stephanie McMahon would take over as the chairperson of the board and as co-CEO. Her husband, Paul Levesque,…
Happy New Year. We are kicking off LightShed’s TMT coverage in the new year by laying out our top predictions and events to watch for in 2023 – what we call our #Top23for23. To see what we got right and wrong in last year’s Top 22 list for 2022, click here. As we made our predictions for 2022, we…
As usual, our most read post of the year was the first post of the year: the LightShed Team’s predictions for the year ahead. Topics that drove the most interest included whether it was a mistake for legacy media to enter into the streaming wars vs. remaining arms dealers, the dramatic slowdown in sub growth…
Not much can surprise us anymore in American politics. However, we have been taken aback by the Biden administration’s antitrust tact over the past several weeks. Both the DOJ and FTC have cast a cloud of regulatory uncertainty around current (and completed) deals that defy US precedent (and look more like a European approach). In…
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