Here are our 13 key questions for Netflix management on tonight’s Q4 2025 earnings discussion (our Q3 2025 questions can be found here). 1) Why so confident in regulatory approval? Paramount continues to say your acquisition is anti-competitive both in the US and major international territories. Why are you so confident you can obtain regulatory approval…
Jim Dolan’s goal is to build a global network of Spheres of various sizes. To that end, we predicted SPHR would announce two “mini-Spheres” in 2026 (link). Over the weekend, the first announcement came: a 6,000-capacity venue located in Maryland’s National Harbor, expected to open in 2030 (link). The location is just a 15-minute drive…
Investors and industry execs continue to ask us why Paramount does not simply buy Warner Bros. and HBO, replicating Netflix’s accepted bid, rather than bidding for the entire Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) that includes Discovery Global. A pretty logical/rational question, given that you do not see other legacy media companies in 2026 clamoring to buy…
The media industry is having a field day debating whether Paramount’s $30/share offer for all of Warner Bros. Discovery is superior to Netflix’s bid for Warner Bros. at $27.75/share for Studio & Streaming only, plus the value of a to-be-spun Discovery Global relative to the current valuation of newly spun-out Versant. Not only is Versant’s…
Welcome everybody to the 2026 edition of LightShed’s annual TMT predictions. Last year we culled the list to 17 predictions (click here), and our accuracy was a little better (listen to our recap here). With renewed confidence, we are re-expanding to 20 predictions this year. Of course, we missed the biggest 2025 event in our…
As usual, our most read post of the year was the first post of the year: the LightShed Team’s predictions for the year ahead (we reviewed our 2025 predictions on Episode 294 of The LightShed Podcast, link). The many angles of the battle for Warner Bros. Discovery dominated readership throughout 2025. Top posts centered on…
On yesterday’s episode of The Town podcast, Puck’s Matt Belloni asked Redbird Capital’s Gerry Cardinale: “If Larry is prepared to go all in on this, why is the Ellison family only putting in $12 billion of dollars of equity and you’ve now recruited three Middle East funds to invest double that, $24 billion?” Cardinale’s answer:…
Earlier today, Warner Bros. Discovery filed a 14D-9 explaining the entire chain of events that led the WBD Board of Directors to move forward with Netflix’s offer and reject Paramount’s offer. While the document addresses many issues we have written about (link), there were a significant number of new “nuggets” of information that illustrate just…
As the Warner Bros. Discovery saga drags on, there are several important Paramount questions investors need answered: 1) Why is Paramount Buying All of WBD vs. Just Warner Bros. & HBO? Given the growing headwinds facing linear TV, particularly general entertainment cable networks, why would anyone want to own more linear TV in 2026 and…
Since YouTube TV launched in early 2017, it has offered a single bundle of channels, which has risen in cost from $35 at launch to $83 today. Programmers, desperate to sustain their cable network businesses, with most suffering from a poor price/value relationship, have jammed in ever more channels and bloated the bundle. While YouTube…
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